Sydney leads property prices to fastest rise in 32 years

author-avatar By on April 01, 2021
Sydney leads property prices to fastest rise in 32 years

CoreLogic's national home value index recorded a 2.8% increase in March, the steepest monthly spike in values since October 1988 when values rose 3.2%.

That's the fastest rate of growth in 32 years. 

The house price boom remained broadly based, with values rising at least 1.4% across each of the capital cities and 'rest-of-state' regions over the month. 

CoreLogic Research Director Tim Lawless said Sydney led the way in March, with values spiking 3.7% to be 6.7% higher compared to the first quarter of 2021. 

“The last time Sydney housing values recorded a quarterly trend this strong was in June/July 2015. Following this brief surge, the pace of growth rapidly slowed as limits on investor lending kicked in to slow the market," Mr Lawless said. 

CoreLogic's combined capital cities index recorded a 2.8% lift in March, compared with the 2.5% gain in the combined regional index. 

“Housing values in regional areas are 11.4% higher over the past year, demonstrating the earlier stronger growth trend; capital city values are now 4.8% higher on an annual basis with the acceleration in growth evident in March.”


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Lender
Advertised rate Comparison rate Monthly repayment Rate TypeOffsetRedrawOngoing FeeUpfront FeesLVRLump Sum RepaymentAdditional RepaymentsPre-approval
VariableMore details
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VariableMore details
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  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
VariableMore details
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VariableMore details
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YOU COULD WIN $100k TO PAY DOWN YOUR LOAN*

Owner Occupier Accelerates - Celebrate (LVR < 60%) (Principal and Interest)

  • For a chance to win $100K towards your home loan, apply with Athena before Oct 31 & be approved by Dec 15
  • We lower your rate based off how much you’ve paid down your loan
  • Automatic rate match
VariableMore details
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
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  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^
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Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^

Rates correct as of October 23, 2021. View disclaimer.

Sydney and Melbourne have now staged a full recovery from their 2020 downturns and have now started to outpace smaller capitals which had previously outperformed them. 

Sydney dwelling prices are now 2.6% higher than their July 2017 peak, after values fell 14.9% through to May 2019 and 2.9% through the pandemic. 

Melbourne prices are also at a record high after recovering from their 11.1% fall through 2017 to 2019, and the 5.6% fall seen through COVID. 

March also marked the first time in a year where growth in capital city housing markets outpaced regional markets

Related: Top 10 most affordable regional property markets.

Victoria was the only state where regional areas outperformed the capital, with regional Victorian values up 2.6%, compared to a 2.6% rise in Melbourne. 

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Source: CoreLogic

Demand far outweighing supply 

Skyrocketing property prices are being supported by a disconnect between demand and supply, with total advertised listings remaining extremely low in March.

National total listing numbers showed advertised stock levels were 25.5% below the five year average over the four weeks to March 28. 

However, the past four weeks saw new listings nationally trending 8.1% higher than a year ago and 3% above the five year average.

Mr Lawless said the main reason total listing numbers remained so low was buyer demand consistently outweighing new advertised supply. 

“The ratio of sales to new listings is tracking at around 1.1, implying for every new listing added to the market, 1.1 homes are sold. Such a rapid rate of absorption is keeping overall inventory levels low and adding to a sense of FOMO amongst buyers," he said. 

A frenzied auction market is also supporting strong conditions, with the last week of March the busiest week for auctions in three years and house auction prices reaching record-breaking levels. 

Estimated sales activity remained elevated over March, with CoreLogic estimating the number of home sales over the month was 21.9% higher than a year ago.

This was led by Perth, which saw an estimated 42.2% in sales, or approximately 3,200 sales. 

Rental markets remain diverse 

CoreLogic found there were significant differences between regions and housing types in the rental market. 

Geographically, Darwin and Perth had the tightest rental markets, with house and unit rents both recording double-digit annual growth.

But rents are rising at record-breaking pace in Perth and Darwin, with the quarterly trend up 5.9% and 7.7% respectively. 

“Rental prices in Perth and Darwin started surging higher in September last year. The monthly growth in rents across Perth quickly accelerated from an already high 1.1% in September 2020, to 2.0% by March 2021," Mr Lawless said. 

"Darwin rents have risen by an average 2.1% per month for the past seven months, including a 2.4% lift in March 2021."

Despite the strong growth, both cities rents are far off their peak, with Perth 16% below its 2013 peak and Darwin 24.6% below the 2014 peak. 

Elsewhere, the unit markets in Melbourne and Sydney continue to be a drag with no overseas migration and border closures.

However, Mr Lawless said conditions were stabilising. 

“Sydney unit rents have posted a subtle rise over the past three months, while unit rents in Melbourne have held firm over the same period," he said. 

"The improvement comes after a long running decline, however a material improvement in rental conditions is likely to be dependent on foreign students and visitors returning to shore up inner city unit rental demand.“


Photo by Aldrino on Unsplash

Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:

  • The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
  • The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Great Southern Bank, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
  • The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
  • If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au

Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.

In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.

*The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate.

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Alex joined Savings.com.au as a finance journalist in 2019. He enjoys covering in-depth economical releases and breaking down how they might affect the everyday punter. He is passionate about providing Australians with the information and tools needed to make them financially stable for their futures.

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