Bushfires widen the gap between regional and metropolitan financial comfort

Photo by Fiona Smallwood on Unsplash

Household financial comfort has fallen significantly across regional Australia following the recent bushfires.

ME Bank’s latest Household Financial Comfort Report found that over the six months to December 2019, the financial comfort of metropolitan households rose by 3% to 5.76 (out of 10) - a near record low.

But on the other hand, financial comfort for regional households fell by 4% to 5.08, which is the lowest point seen in eight years. 

This means the gap between regional and metro households is a record 13%, and twice the historical average recorded by ME of 7%. 

Source: ME

ME consulting economist Jeff Oughton said the now infamous bushfires were partly to blame. 

"The sharp fall in financial comfort in regional areas is likely a result of ongoing drought and recent bushfire catastrophes, which have significantly lowered already low levels of financial comfort," Mr Oughton said. 

"Comfort with cash savings’ fell 9% and the ‘ability to deal with financial emergencies’ fell 7%, while long-term retirement comfort deteriorated, with ‘anticipated standard of living in retirement’ down 7%." 

According to the data, regional Queensland had the largest fall in comfort (14%) to 4.95, falling below regional NSW (5.09) and Victoria (5.20). 

“In contrast, the improvement in the financial comfort of metropolitan households reflected significant gains in all key drivers, with record high levels of comfort approached in Sydney (up 1% to 5.94), Melbourne (up 3% to 5.91) and Brisbane (up 10% to 5.82).”

ME's survey, which is conducted on a bi-annual basis and surveyed more than 1,500 people across the country, was conducted in early December 2019 when the bushfires were generally at their most intense. 

But given that the fires still raged into early February, ME has admitted the survey does not capture the full impact of the fires on some regions' financial comfort. 

Source: ME

Record low mortgage rates helping 

There are 11 key drivers of household financial comfort listed in ME's survey, such as 'changes to your financial situation' and 'ability to cope with an emergency', and 10 of the 11 drivers improved. 

The biggest improvement however was seen in ‘comfort with debt’, which rose 5% to 6.55 out of 10, another record high. 

Mortgage rates were a big driver of increased comfort with debt, as there have been two RBA rate cuts since the previous report finalised in June 2019.

Lower home loan rates result in lower mortgage repayments to those who get them, and the results show comfort with debt rose particularly among those with mortgages on their homes or on an investment property. 

The table below displays some of the lowest-rate variable home loans currently on the market for owner occupiers:

“Significantly lower home loan rates and relatively low and stable unemployment rates helped to significantly improve ‘comfort with debt’ – especially in major capital cities, while a partial reversal of the fall in residential property prices in eastern capital cities and expectations of further price gains have also eased gearing concerns,” Mr Oughton said. 

“Those households paying off a mortgage felt they were far better off than those renting or who already own their homes.

"When it came to investors with debt, results show they feel they’ve benefited the most (60% ‘better off’) from the flow on to record low mortgage rates – an indication of the high level of gearing among residential property investors in Australia.”

Overall, slightly more households reported being better off (27%), compared to worse off (23%) as a result of the historically low cash rate of 0.75%. The remainder said they weren't affected. 

Mortgage stress eases but remains high 

Mortgage stress - generally defined as a household putting 30% or more of its disposable income towards mortgage repayments - predictably fell thanks to lower interest rates. 

Stress levels fell by 2 points in the six months to December, but remained extremely high at 41% of households. 

Overall, over a third (36%) of households indicated their ‘financial situation had improved over the past year, thanks to less concern over living cost pressures fewer falls in income and improved employment status and savings in the bank. 

"Comfort with the ability to manage a financial emergency’ only saw a slight improvement (up 1% to 4.82), but was significantly lower than average among single parents (3.17 out of 10)," Mr Oughton said. 

"It also remains the lowest of all drivers across the Household Financial Comfort Index – especially for regional areas."

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Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:

• The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
• The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Great Southern Bank, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
• The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
• If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au

Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.

In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.

*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan.

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