Credit growth hits lowest point in 10 years

author-avatar By on December 23, 2019
Credit growth hits lowest point in 10 years

Photo by Matthew Henry on Unsplash

Annual credit growth in Australia has hit a near-decade low, according to the latest Reserve Bank (RBA) data.

Lending to households and businesses grew by 2.3% in the year to November 2019, while it grew by 0.1% over the past month. 

According to the RBA's data, that 2.3% growth rate is the smallest since April 2010 (2.2%), and should boost the chances of another RBA rate cut occurring early next year after last week's positive unemployment figures.

This is the 13th consecutive month that credit growth has fallen - a lack of credit growth essentially means people aren't taking out loans for houses. 

Indeed, housing credit grew by just 0.2% for the month and 2.9% over the year. 

House prices have surged recently, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, pushing annual housing growth into the positives for the first time since April 2018, following solid declines from 2017's peak. 

However housing credit is a function of both house prices and the volume of properties on the market and being sold.

This is why we're seeing these weak credit growth numbers.

Credit for purchases other than housing (personal credit) such as car loans or personal loans fell by 0.5% month-to-month and by a significant 4.9% year-on-year, while lending to businesses rose by 0.3% and 4.4% respectively. 

Investor numbers fleeting 

Much of the downturn in housing credit growth appears to be somewhat driven by investors. 

In November 2018 investor credit growth was in excess of 1.1% annually, and even managed to hit more than 10% back in 2015. 

But November 2019's annual investor credit growth figure was -0.3%, a negative number for the fourth time in the last six months. 

The table below displays a selection of variable-rate  investment home loans on offer, featuring a low-rate pick from each of the following three categories: the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned banks, and the larger non-banks.

Lender
Advertised rate Comparison rate Monthly repayment Rate TypeOffsetRedrawOngoing FeeUpfront FeesLVRLump Sum RepaymentAdditional RepaymentsPre-approval
VariableMore details
GET A FULL OFFSET ACCOUNT FOR NO EXTRA COST

Low Rate Home Loan - Prime (Principal and Interest) (Investment) (LVR < 60%)

  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
GET A FULL OFFSET ACCOUNT FOR NO EXTRA COST

Low Rate Home Loan - Prime (Principal and Interest) (Investment) (LVR < 60%)

  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
VariableMore details
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Investment Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 80%)

  • No application fee
  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Investment Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 80%)

  • No application fee
  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
VariableMore details
  • For a chance to win $100K towards your home loan, apply with Athena before Oct 31 & be approved by Dec 15
  • The more you pay down your loan, the more we’ll lower your rate
  • Athena charges zero fees
VariableMore details
FREE REDRAW FACILITY

Smart Investor Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 80%)

  • Option to add an offset for 0.10%
  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30 day settlement
  • No on-going or monthly fees
FREE REDRAW FACILITY

Smart Investor Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 80%)

  • Option to add an offset for 0.10%
  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30 day settlement
  • No on-going or monthly fees

Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to made on variables as selected and input by the user. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. Rates correct as of September 28, 2021. View disclaimer.

Owner-occupied credit growth hit 0.4% monthly, which is the smallest figure since June, while its annual 4.7% growth is the lowest since February 2014. 

Monthly growth  Annual growth 
Owner-occupier loans 0.4% 4.7%
Investor loans -0.1% -0.3%

With three interest rate cuts occurring in 2019, and at least one more expected to happen in 2020, interest rates are at record lows at the moment and don't look like changing anytime soon. 

The table below displays a selection of variable-rate home loans on offer, featuring a low-rate pick from each of the following three categories: the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned banks, and the larger non-banks.

Lender
Advertised rate Comparison rate Monthly repayment Rate TypeOffsetRedrawOngoing FeeUpfront FeesLVRLump Sum RepaymentAdditional RepaymentsPre-approval
VariableMore details
LIMITED TIME OFFER

Smart Booster Home Loan Discounted Variable - 2yr (LVR < 80%)

  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30-day settlement
  • For purchase and refinance, min 20% deposit
  • No ongoing or monthly fees, add offset for 0.10%
LIMITED TIME OFFER

Smart Booster Home Loan Discounted Variable - 2yr (LVR < 80%)

  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30-day settlement
  • For purchase and refinance, min 20% deposit
  • No ongoing or monthly fees, add offset for 0.10%
VariableMore details
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^
FixedMore details
NO UPFRONT OR ONGOING FEES

Basic Home Loan Fixed (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 70%) 3 Years

NO UPFRONT OR ONGOING FEES

Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to made on variables as selected and input by the user. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. Rates correct as of September 28, 2021. View disclaimer.


Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:

  • The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
  • The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Great Southern Bank, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
  • The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
  • If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au

Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.

In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.

*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan.

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author-avatar
William Jolly joined Savings.com.au as a Financial Journalist in 2018, after spending two years at financial research firm Canstar. In William's articles, you're likely to find complex financial topics and products broken down into everyday language. He is deeply passionate about improving the financial literacy of Australians and providing them with resources on how to save money in their everyday lives.

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