Photo by Harmen Jelle van Mourik on Unsplash
A survey in May found 72% of property investors were confident about the market's short-term prospects.
The Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) and the Property Investors Council of Australia (PICA) commissioned the survey of nearly 2,000 property investors, which found investor sentiment was down only 10 percentage points from the same survey conducted in September last year.
Eighty per cent of respondents said the COVID-19 crisis had not changed their investment intentions for the next six or 12 months.
Positive sentiment is despite residential construction values falling to a near-five year low in the March 2020 quarter, according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS).
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Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to be made on variables as selected and input by the user. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. *The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Rates correct as of . View disclaimer.
Investors Switzer Financial Group research also revealed more than half of Australians expect property prices to fall in the next 12 months.
Other research by banks and economists predict a grim short-term future for property as well:
- A 'worst case' scenario from Commonwealth Bank predicts house prices to slump by up to a third, while NAB's forecast is up to a 30% fall.
- ANZ predicts values to fall by 10%.
- HSBC holds a contrary view, predicting Sydney and Melbourne values to increase by 9% and 7% in 2020 respectively, before falling between 2% and 12% in 2021.
Analysis by Domain also found there had been no material signs yet of distressed sales.
The PIPA-PICA survey collated responses from 13 to 24 May, with 35% of responses from NSW, 30% from Victoria and 20% from Queensland.
Forty-five per cent of respondents had an average household income of $100,000 to $200,000 annually.
"Business as usual" for property investors
PIPA chairman Peter Koulizos said the survey showed investors were "overwhelmingly" optimistic about the property market in the next year.
"Eighteen per cent [are] saying the crisis had actually made it more likely they would purchase a property over that timeframe,” he said.
“The survey results also showed about 30% of investors were more likely to buy a property in the next six to 12 months because of the pandemic."
PICA chairman Ben Kingsley said only a small percentage of respondents (5%) indicated the crisis had made it more likely that they would sell a property over the next six to 12 months.
Nearly two-thirds also said coronavirus poses no change at all to their plans.
“Most investors also indicated that they had the financial buffers to see them through the current economic uncertainty," Mr Kingsley said.
“The survey results definitively show optimism amongst investors as well as a business as usual attitude.”
The survey was conducted at the same time various property groups lobbied the Australian Government to protect the construction industry.
Disclaimers
The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered. Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site. Savings.com.au, yourmortgage.com.au, yourinvestmentpropertymag.com.au, and Performance Drive are part of the Savings Media group. In the interests of full disclosure, the Savings Media Group are associated with the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings Media Group manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please visit the web site links at the bottom of this page.
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