Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane see massive spike in rental vacancies

author-avatar By on May 12, 2020
Sydney, Melbourne and Brisbane see massive spike in rental vacancies

Photo by Kevin Bosc on Unsplash

CBDs and holiday spots have been hit hard by COVID-19 lockdowns, with rental vacancies surging nationally.

SQM Research found the national residential rental vacancy rate recorded a large one month jump from 2.0% in March to 2.6% in April.

The largest rises were found in capital city CBD locations, particularly for the Sydney CBD where the vacancy rate blew out to 13.8%, a record high on the SQM series.

Melbourne didn't fare much better, with Southbank vacancy rates rising to 13.0%, while the CBD rose to 7.6%.

Brisbane CBD also recorded a sharp rise to 11.3%, higher than the oversupply period of 2014 to 2017. 

Other holiday locations have also suffered with Surfers Paradise recording a vacancy rate of 8.5% and Noosa blowing out to 6.8%.

All states recorded increases in vacancy rates with the exception of Darwin which recorded a marginal 0.1% decline. 

CBD Vacancy rates (%)

CBD

April ’19 Vacancies

March ’20 Vacancies

April ’20 Vacancies

Sydney

6.5

5.7

13.8

Melbourne

2.3

5.0

7.6

Brisbane

5.3

5.7

11.3

Perth

5.4

4.7

5.8

Adelaide

2.4

3.2

6.6

Canberra

4.8

2.2

4.6

Darwin

6.3

4.7

5.3

Hobart

1.3

1.3

2.5

Source: SQM Research

Managing Director of SQM Research Louis Christopher said the surge in rental vacancies could be attributed to border closures and AirBnBs coming onto the rental market.

“This is one of the largest one month rises ever recorded on our vacancy rates series," Mr Christopher said.

"The blow out in rental vacancy rates for the major CBDs suggests a mass exodus of tenants occurred over the course of March and April.

"This might be attributed to the significant loss in employment in our CBDs plus the drop off in international students.

"We are well aware of a surge in short term accommodation now being advertised for long term leasing."

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Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to made on variables as selected and input by the user. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. Rates correct as of October 18, 2021. View disclaimer.

Asking rents suffer correction 

As vacancy rates surged, asking rents dropped, with capital city asking rents decreasing 1.3% to $537 per week for houses and remained stable at $428 per week units for the week ending 12 May.

National combined rates have now recorded a 12 month decrease of 3.1%. 

Sydney, Melbourne and Perth recorded decreases in asking rents for both houses and units over the month.

Brisbane, Canberra and Hobart recorded decreases in house asking rents but minor increases in unit asking rents.

Adelaide bucked the trend and recorded rent increases for both houses and units of 0.1% and 1.4% respectively.

weekly rents index

Mr Christopher said continued high rental vacancies would only further push asking rents downwards. 

"If it is sustained throughout the course of the year, then we can expect far deeper falls in rents which will be good news for tenants but a disaster for landlords," he said.

"There will also be economic consequences with further sharp falls in building approvals likely; thereby risking a major depression in our residential construction sector as well as the rather obvious risks for housing prices.”

Westpac announces new LVR cap for tourism areas

Big four bank Westpac has announced a loan-to-value ratio (LVR) cap of 70% for new loans in tourism-heavy areas, mainly in Queensland. 

"With recent changes to Australia’s economic outlook due to COVID-19, we are making some temporary adjustments to our home lending criteria," a Westpac spokeswoman said.

"These updates will help reduce risk for home loan applicants in some affected industries and areas, through measures such as lowering the maximum loan to value ratio."

Westpac also announced self-employed borrowers taking out new loans would be allowed a maximum LVR of 80%, or 85% for some medical workers.

Previously the bank had allowed owner-occupiers who are self-employed to borrow up to 95% of a property's value, or 90% for investors. 

Westpac said the changes were temporary, as it looked to stem massive losses as a result of COVID-19. 


Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:

  • The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
  • The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Great Southern Bank, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
  • The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
  • If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au

Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.

In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.

*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan.

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Alex joined Savings.com.au as a finance journalist in 2019. He enjoys covering in-depth economical releases and breaking down how they might affect the everyday punter. He is passionate about providing Australians with the information and tools needed to make them financially stable for their futures.

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