All major capital cities saw unit prices fall across the June quarter, while only Adelaide, Canberra and Hobart saw an increase in house prices, new research shows.
Domain's House Price Report for the June quarter reported that across the combined eight capital cities:
- Median house prices fell by 2% to $804,602 (driven largely by Melbourne and Sydney)
- Median unit prices fell by 2.20% to $560,838
Annually, these median prices are still up 6.6% and 4.5% respectively.
The findings follow another recent report by Domain showing that over the June quarter, unit rental prices experienced the largest fall in over 15 years.
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Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. If products listed have an LVR <80%, they will be clearly identified in the product name along with the specific LVR. The product and rate must be clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments were calculated based on the selected products’ advertised rates, applied to a $400,000 loan with a 30-year loan term.
According to Domain, price falls to date have been minimal from the pre-coronavirus March quarter to June, with Domain Senior Research Analyst Dr Nicola Powell saying this is the first quarter to show the impact of COVID-19 on house prices, reversing upward price swings in Sydney and Melbourne.
"While most capital cities declined, the falls have been minimal to-date as unprecedented government stimulus, mortgage holidays, low stock levels and record low interest rates shield values from any significant declines, helping to retain stability in the housing market,” Dr Powell said.
[Low interest rates: Compare low rate home loans]
Amid lenders extending mortgage deferrals for those under serious financial strain, and the prolonging of the JobKeeper subsidy, Domain said the outlook for property prices largely depends on how well the economy is tracking when the financial stimulus ends.
This is a similar sentiment to the one shared by NAB earlier in July, which found that despite an improved outlook, house prices could fall up to 15% from peak to trough - indicating the price falls recorded by Domain could continue in the coming quarters.
"While prices have held up slightly better than expected, they have now declined for two consecutive months across the capitals and we expect this to continue for some time yet," NAB Chief Economist Alan Oster said.
"This easing in prices in Sydney and Melbourne comes after a very strong period in growth from mid-2019 where prices troughed."
Median house prices: Q2 2020
Notable house price swings could be seen in:
- Melbourne, which recorded a 3.5% decline to $881,369
- Sydney, which recorded a 2% decline in line with the national average
- Canberra, which recorded an impressive 4.1% rise in median house prices to $819,090
“The ACT has not felt the economic impact of the COVID-19 crisis to the same extent as other cities, though the jobless rate has risen, it remains the lowest compared to other jurisdictions, supported by the high public sector employment base, where job losses have been minimal, and industries supporting the public sector," Dr Powell said.
“A resurgence of first home buyers enticed by low interest rates and government incentive schemes have helped many on to the property ladder and supported housing activity.
"Stamp duty waivers on land and off-the-plan purchases, together with the HomeBuilder grant could continue to lure buyers.”
Median unit prices: Q2 2020
Every capital city recorded a fall in apartment prices, but the biggest falls were seen in:
- Brisbane, which saw a 4.10% fall in median prices to $375,285
- Perth, where prices fell 4.9% to $334,282
- Darwin, where prices are down 3.70% to $241,461
Of Perth's unit price fall, Dr Powell said the city has lost almost all of the strong gains it recorded over the previous quarter, pushing unit values down marginally 0.1% the year.
"This has created a window of opportunity for buyers, with values only 0.7% above last years trough but a staggering 20.7% lower than the mid-2014 peak," she said.
“Perth’s housing recovery may have paused in recent months although prices remain relatively stable considering the economic impact of the current health crisis. Improving commodity prices, particularly the states two biggest exports gold and iron ore, will be a pillar of support for the economy.
"A rapidly shrinking supply of advertised listings will also help to rebalance the market."
The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:
- The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
- The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Credit Union Australia, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
- The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
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Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.
In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.
*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may inﬂuence the cost of the loan.
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