Lending to households and businesses grew by 2.3% in the year to November 2019, while it grew by 0.1% over the past month. 

According to the RBA's data, that 2.3% growth rate is the smallest since April 2010 (2.2%), and should boost the chances of another RBA rate cut occurring early next year after last week's positive unemployment figures.

This is the 13th consecutive month that credit growth has fallen - a lack of credit growth essentially means people aren't taking out loans for houses. 

Indeed, housing credit grew by just 0.2% for the month and 2.9% over the year. 

House prices have surged recently, particularly in Sydney and Melbourne, pushing annual housing growth into the positives for the first time since April 2018, following solid declines from 2017's peak. 

However housing credit is a function of both house prices and the volume of properties on the market and being sold.

This is why we're seeing these weak credit growth numbers.

Credit for purchases other than housing (personal credit) such as car loans or personal loans fell by 0.5% month-to-month and by a significant 4.9% year-on-year, while lending to businesses rose by 0.3% and 4.4% respectively. 

Investor numbers fleeting 

Much of the downturn in housing credit growth appears to be somewhat driven by investors. 

In November 2018 investor credit growth was in excess of 1.1% annually, and even managed to hit more than 10% back in 2015. 

But November 2019's annual investor credit growth figure was -0.3%, a negative number for the fourth time in the last six months. 

The table below displays a selection of variable-rate  investment home loans on offer, featuring a low-rate pick from each of the following three categories: the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned banks, and the larger non-banks.

Lender

VariableMore details
Refinance OnlyApply In Minutes
  • A low-rate variable investment home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
Refinance OnlyApply In Minutes

Unloan – Variable Rate Investment Loan – Refinance Only

  • A low-rate variable investment home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
Important Information and Comparison Rate Warning

Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to be made on variables as selected and input by the user. Some products will be marked as promoted, featured or sponsored and may appear prominently in the tables regardless of their attributes. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the product provider’s website. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. *The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Rates correct as of November 29, 2023. View disclaimer.

Owner-occupied credit growth hit 0.4% monthly, which is the smallest figure since June, while its annual 4.7% growth is the lowest since February 2014. 

Monthly growth  Annual growth 
Owner-occupier loans 0.4% 4.7%
Investor loans -0.1% -0.3%

With three interest rate cuts occurring in 2019, and at least one more expected to happen in 2020, interest rates are at record lows at the moment and don't look like changing anytime soon. 

The table below displays a selection of variable-rate home loans on offer, featuring a low-rate pick from each of the following three categories: the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned banks, and the larger non-banks.

Lender

VariableMore details
4.6 Star Customer RatingsIncludes Nov RBA Rate Increase
  • Low rates for purchase and refinancing
  • Simple online application process
  • No fees, unlimited redraws, 0.10% offset
4.6 Star Customer RatingsIncludes Nov RBA Rate Increase

loans.com.au – Variable Home Loan (LVR < 90%)

  • Low rates for purchase and refinancing
  • Simple online application process
  • No fees, unlimited redraws, 0.10% offset
VariableMore details
Unlimited Redraws
  • No annual fees – None!
  • Get fast pre-approval
  • Unlimited additional repayments free of charge
  • Redraw freely – Access your additional payments when you need them
  • Home loan specialists available today
Unlimited Redraws

ubank – Neat Variable Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 60%)

  • No annual fees – None!
  • Get fast pre-approval
  • Unlimited additional repayments free of charge
  • Redraw freely – Access your additional payments when you need them
  • Home loan specialists available today
VariableMore details

ANZ – Standard Variable Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 80%)

    Important Information and Comparison Rate Warning

    Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to be made on variables as selected and input by the user. Some products will be marked as promoted, featured or sponsored and may appear prominently in the tables regardless of their attributes. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the product provider’s website. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. *The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Rates correct as of November 29, 2023. View disclaimer.

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