Housing credit growth surges as lending squeeze looms

author-avatar By on September 30, 2021
Housing credit growth surges as lending squeeze looms

New RBA data shows annual housing credit growth rose to 6.2% in August, after regulators gave their best indication a credit squeeze is coming.

Most of the growth was attributed to owner occupiers, surging 0.5 percentage points to 8.4% compared to the 12-month ended figure last month, while investment lending increased 0.3 percentage points to 2.2%.

The Annual housing credit growth figure is the highest since February 2018, while the owner occupier figure is the highest since October 2016.

By contrast, wages rose just 1.7% over the year, offset by trimmed mean inflation of 1.6%. 

Westpac economist Andrew Hanlan pointed to another heady statistic.

"Housing credit grew by 8.1% annualised over the three months to August. This includes a 0.62% increase in the month of August, which is an annualised pace of 7.7%," Mr Hanlan said.

"That is the fastest three month pace since April 2010.

"The sector was in a brisk upswing ahead of the latest lockdowns, responding to record low rates, the HomeBuilder program and a switch in demand as folk looked for more space at home.

"The RBA is closely monitoring developments in the housing market, with credit growth currently running ahead of that of household incomes."

ANZ economist Adelaide Timbrell echoed similar.

"The strength [is] still coming from owner-occupier borrowing. Even at these levels, housing credit will likely continue to outstrip income growth, which the RBA has consistently said is a concern for them," Ms Timbrell said.

The RBA's data comes after the Council of Financial Regulators (CFR) indicated yesterday it is reviewing current framework around lending conditions after strong property price growth through the year.

One of the policies tabled includes clamping down on lending to borrowers with debt to income ratios above six, which has surged this year.

New Zealand already has loan-to-value ratio restrictions - most owner occupiers need a 20% deposit, and most investors need a 40% deposit, or equity.

From Friday, Kiwi property investors will also be able to claim only 75% of their mortgage interest against their rental income, while certain 'bright line test' capital gains tax advantages will also be tweaked.

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Buying a home or looking to refinance? The table below features home loans with some of the lowest interest rates on the market for owner occupiers.

Lender
Advertised rate Comparison rate Monthly repayment Rate TypeOffsetRedrawOngoing FeeUpfront FeesLVRLump Sum RepaymentAdditional RepaymentsPre-approval

VariableMore details
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Smart Booster Home Loan Discounted Variable - 2yr (LVR < 80%)

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Smart Booster Home Loan Discounted Variable - 2yr (LVR < 80%)

  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30-day settlement
  • For purchase and refinance, min 20% deposit
  • No ongoing or monthly fees, add offset for 0.10%
VariableMore details
100% FULL OFFSET ACCOUNTNO APPLICATION FEE OR ONGOING FEES

Low Rate Home Loan - Prime (Principal and Interest) (Owner Occupied) (LVR < 60%)

  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
100% FULL OFFSET ACCOUNTNO APPLICATION FEE OR ONGOING FEES

Low Rate Home Loan - Prime (Principal and Interest) (Owner Occupied) (LVR < 60%)

  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
VariableMore details
REFINANCE IN MINUTES, NOT WEEKS

Nano Home Loans Variable Owner Occupied, Principal and Interest (Refinance Only)

  • Refinance only. Fast online application
  • No Nano fees. Free 100% offset sub account
  • Mobile app, Visa debit card & instant payments
REFINANCE IN MINUTES, NOT WEEKS

Nano Home Loans Variable Owner Occupied, Principal and Interest (Refinance Only)

  • Refinance only. Fast online application
  • No Nano fees. Free 100% offset sub account
  • Mobile app, Visa debit card & instant payments
VariableMore details
YOU COULD WIN $100k TO PAY DOWN YOUR LOAN*

Owner Occupier Accelerates - Celebrate (LVR < 60%) (Principal and Interest)

  • For a chance to win $100K towards your home loan, apply with Athena before Oct 31 & be approved by Dec 15
  • We lower your rate based off how much you’ve paid down your loan
  • Automatic rate match
YOU COULD WIN $100k TO PAY DOWN YOUR LOAN*

Owner Occupier Accelerates - Celebrate (LVR < 60%) (Principal and Interest)

  • For a chance to win $100K towards your home loan, apply with Athena before Oct 31 & be approved by Dec 15
  • We lower your rate based off how much you’ve paid down your loan
  • Automatic rate match
VariableMore details
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^
AN EASY ONLINE APPLICATION

Yard Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (Special) (LVR < 70%)

  • Unlimited additional repayments
  • Unlimited free redraws
  • Optional 100% offset can be added for $120 p.a.^

Rates correct as of October 27, 2021. View disclaimer.


Photo by Steve Buissinne on Pixabay

Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:

  • The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
  • The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Great Southern Bank, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
  • The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
  • If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au

Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.

In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.

*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may influence the cost of the loan.

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Harrison is Savings.com.au's Assistant Editor. Prior to joining Savings in January 2020, he worked for some of Australia's largest comparison sites and media organisations. With a keen interest in the economy, housing policy, and personal finance, Harrison is passionate about breaking down complex financial topics for the everyday consumer.

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