House prices finish 2020 with a bang, rising for third straight month

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on January 04, 2021
House prices finish 2020 with a bang, rising for third straight month

Australian home prices rose 1.0% in December, the third consecutive month of increases, according to CoreLogic.

Home values rose 3.0% in 2020, with regional values up 6.9%, more than triple capital city values which saw an increase of 2.0% over the year. 

Buying a home or looking to refinance? The table below features home loans with some of the lowest variable interest rates on the market for owner occupiers.

Lender

Variable
More details
UNLIMITED REDRAWSSPECIAL OFFER
  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30-day settlement
  • For purchase and refinance, min 20% deposit
  • No ongoing or monthly fees, add offset for 0.10%
UNLIMITED REDRAWSSPECIAL OFFER

Smart Booster Home Loan Discounted Variable - 2yr (LVR < 80%)

  • Fast turnaround times, can meet 30-day settlement
  • For purchase and refinance, min 20% deposit
  • No ongoing or monthly fees, add offset for 0.10%
Variable
More details
100% FULL OFFSET ACCOUNTNO APPLICATION FEE OR ONGOING FEES
  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
100% FULL OFFSET ACCOUNTNO APPLICATION FEE OR ONGOING FEES

Low Rate Home Loan - Prime (Principal and Interest) (Owner Occupied) (LVR < 60%)

  • No upfront or ongoing fees
  • 100% full offset account
  • Extra repayments + redraw services
Variable
More details
NSW/VIC/SA METRO & INNER REGIONAL AREAS
NSW/VIC/SA METRO & INNER REGIONAL AREAS

Variable Home Loan (Principal and Interest)

  • $5000 Cashback. T&Cs Apply.
Variable
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REFINANCE ONLY
  • A low-rate variable home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
REFINANCE ONLY

Variable Rate Home Loan – Refinance Only

  • A low-rate variable home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
Variable
More details
NO ONGOING FEESFREE REDRAW FACILITY
  • Rate Match Guarantee. Tic:Toc will match the rate on identical variable P&I home loans. T&C's Apply.
NO ONGOING FEESFREE REDRAW FACILITY

Live-in Variable Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 90%)

  • Rate Match Guarantee. Tic:Toc will match the rate on identical variable P&I home loans. T&C's Apply.

Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to be made on variables as selected and input by the user. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. *The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Rates correct as of June 27, 2022. View disclaimer.

CoreLogic's Head of Research, Tim Lawless, said forecasts of values dropping by over 30% did not come to fruition, with the year instead characterised by volatility in transactions. 

"The number of residential property sales plummeted by -40% through March and April but finished the year with almost 8% more sales relative to a year ago as buyer numbers surged through the second half of the year," Mr Lawless said.

"Despite the volatility, housing values showed remarkable resilience, falling by only -2.1% before rebounding with strength throughout the final quarter of 2020.

“Record low interest rates played a key role in supporting housing market activity, along with a spectacular rise in consumer confidence as COVID-related restrictions were lifted and forecasts for economic conditions turned out to be overly pessimistic."

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Source: CoreLogic

The surge in regional values was driven by the shift to working from home, which saw demand outstrip supply as people looked for lifestyle properties and lower density housing.

Despite the housing market gathering pace, four of the eight capitals are recording values below their previous peaks. 

Melbourne home values are 4.1% below their March 2020 peak, Sydney's are 3.9% below their July 2017 peak, and Perth and Darwin are 19.9% and 25.7% below their 2014 peaks, respectively. 

Low inventory levels were a feature of the housing market last year, with total listings peaking at the end of November at around 165,000 properties for sale. 

This was 18% lower than the same period last year and 22% below the five year average for that time of year. 

Mr Lawless said listed properties were being snapped up quickly, as there were simply far more active buyers than new listings coming onto the market. 

"Despite new listing numbers being consistently lower relative to their 2019 levels, the estimated number of home sales were almost 8% higher though 2020 compared with the 2019 calendar year," he said.

"This imbalance between effective supply and demand is another factor that has supported a rise in housing prices as a sense of urgency returned to the market.

"With home buyers outnumbering sellers, most areas around the country represent a seller’s market.”

Across the capitals, the median number of days on the market has reduced from a recent high of 43 days over the three months ending July to 33 days through the December quarter. 

Vendors are also discounting their asking prices by a smaller amount, with the discount reducing from 3.6% to 2.8%. 

House rents and unit rents continue to diverge 

Both geographically and across housing types, rental conditions diverged substantially in 2020. 

Geographically, Darwin and Perth have seen house rents up around 10%, and unit rents are up 7.6% and 6.8% respectively. 

“Both Perth and Darwin have recorded below average levels of investor activity since housing market conditions started to cool in mid-2014 which has led to a shortage of rental stock," Mr Lawless said.

"More recently, with stronger interstate migration driving housing demand, rental rates have been under substantial upwards pressure as demand for rentals outweighs supply.”

Despite this strong performance, Perth rents remain 10.4% lower than the previous peak in May 2013 and Darwin rents remain almost 20% below their 2014 peak.

The Melbourne and Sydney unit markets tell a different story, where weak demand, high supply, and stalled overseas migration has driven a sharp drop in rents. 

Melbourne unit rents were down 7.6% in 2020 and Sydney unit rents were down 5.7%. 

Mr Lawless said these weak rental conditions were likely to persist until overseas migration ramped back up and the higher levels of supply were absorbed. 


Photo by C.Valdez on Unsplash

Disclaimers

The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered. Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site. Savings.com.au, yourmortgage.com.au, yourinvestmentpropertymag.com.au, and Performance Drive are part of the Savings Media group. In the interests of full disclosure, the Savings Media Group are associated with the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings Media Group manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please visit the web site links at the bottom of this page.

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Alex joined Savings.com.au as a finance journalist in 2019. He enjoys covering in-depth economical releases and breaking down how they might affect the everyday punter. He is passionate about providing Australians with the information and tools needed to make them financially stable for their futures.

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