Data from the prudential regulator released today reveals 11% of home loans have been deferred to the value of $195 billion.
The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) data shows that up to 30 June, total loans deferred amount to $274 billion.
Home loans make up $195 billion of that figure, while small business loans account for $55 billion, or 17% of the total small business loan book in Australia.
A bulk of the home loans deferred come from investors, at 34% of deferrals.
Additionally, while 95% loan-to-value ratio loans make up just 5% of the overall loan book, they account for 8% of deferrals.
Buying a home or looking to refinance? The table below features home loans with some of the lowest variable interest rates on the market for owner occupiers.
Smart Booster Home Loan
- Discount variable for 1 year <=80% LVR
- No ongoing fees
- Unlimited redraw facility
Monthly repayments: $1,476
- Discount variable for 1 year
- No ongoing fees
- Unlimited redraw facility
Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. If products listed have an LVR <80%, they will be clearly identified in the product name along with the specific LVR. The product and rate must be clearly published on the Product Provider’s web site. Monthly repayments were calculated based on the selected products’ advertised rates, applied to a $400,000 loan with a 30-year loan term.
"The housing risk profile shows that housing loans granted repayment deferrals are more likely to be extended to owner-occupier borrowers, subject to principal and interest repayments, and have higher loan to value ratios than all housing loans," APRA's report said.
In June, $40 billion worth of loans were approved for deferral, while $18 billion exited deferral.
Small business loans experienced a decrease in the deferral rate - down to 17% from 18% from May to June.
Loan deferrals were initially announced by the Australian Banking Association in March, with deferrals set to last for six months, but in early July deferrals were extended for another four months.
The risks of deferring
Although borrowers may not have to pay anything during a deferral, interest is still capitalised, meaning they could be paying more over the life of the loan.
With total loan deferral periods lasting up to ten months, in late March Standard and Poor's said Australian 'prime' mortgage bonds have enough cash reserves to last nine months of falling investment levels.
Falling investment levels could result in mortgage bond rating downgrades, which could tighten credit at the retail level, similar to what was seen during the global financial crisis from 2007 to 2009.
Additionally, research from investment bank Morgan Stanley found 55% of mortgage holders in Australia were receiving some form of income support, with 15% of those surveyed receiving unemployment benefits such as JobSeeker.
Investment commentator Alan Kohler wrote in The Australian that borrowers are heading for a fiscal cliff.
"The average mortgage is $467,700, so those people collectively owe more than $1 trillion," he said.
"Even if this group’s average mortgage is half that, and even if only a third of them don’t get a job and can’t meet their repayments, the loans in default would be equal to the entire capital of the Australian banking system."
The entire market was not considered in selecting the above products. Rather, a cut-down portion of the market has been considered which includes retail products from at least the big four banks, the top 10 customer-owned institutions and Australia’s larger non-banks:
- The big four banks are: ANZ, CBA, NAB and Westpac
- The top 10 customer-owned Institutions are the ten largest mutual banks, credit unions and building societies in Australia, ranked by assets under management in November 2020. They are (in descending order): Credit Union Australia, Newcastle Permanent, Heritage Bank, Peoples’ Choice Credit Union, Teachers Mutual Bank, Greater Bank, IMB Bank, Beyond Bank, Bank Australia and P&N Bank.
- The larger non-bank lenders are those who (in 2020) has more than $9 billion in Australian funded loans and advances. These groups are: Resimac, Pepper, Liberty and Firstmac.
- If you click on a product link and you are referred to a Product or Service Provider’s web page, it is highly likely that a commercial relationship exists between that Product or Service Provider and Savings.com.au
Some providers' products may not be available in all states. To be considered, the product and rate must be clearly published on the product provider's web site.
In the interests of full disclosure, Savings.com.au, Performance Drive and Loans.com.au are part of the Firstmac Group. To read about how Savings.com.au manages potential conflicts of interest, along with how we get paid, please click through onto the web site links.
*Comparison rate is based on a loan of $150,000 over a term of 25 years. Please note the comparison rate only applies to the examples given. Different loan amounts and terms will result in different comparison rates. Costs such as redraw fees and costs savings, such as fee waivers, are not included in the comparison rate but may inﬂuence the cost of the loan.
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