In its latest Residential Property Survey, NAB economists forecast that the housing boom may start to lose steam in the second half of this year.

Off the back of forecasting that the cash rate will rise in August 2022, the big bank believes that the housing market will begin to 'flatten' in late 2022.

This will see dwelling prices rise by 3% in 2022, before falling by up to 10% in 2023.

NAB economists said it's important to remember this comes after a 'very sharp run up' over the past year, where property prices increased by a third in some areas.

This is near identical to CommBank forecasts, which were released late last year.

In 2020 the major banks predicted sharp house price falls by up to 30% in a 'worst case scenario'.

Propertyology's property analyst Simon Pressley in late 2021 said to 'ignore' property price predictions as they're often inaccurate.

"Society is fast turning into a bunch of sooks," Mr Pressley told Savings.com.au.

"Australia is fast approaching full unemployment for the first time in decades, wage growth prospects are rising with it, infrastructure investment is a record high, there's lots of industry stimulus, and households have more cash squirrelled away than ever. Why the negativity?" 

Advertisement

Buying a home or looking to refinance? The table below features home loans with some of the lowest interest rates on the market for owner occupiers.

Rates
Features
Fees
Other
Lender
VariableMore details
Online ExclusiveUp To $4K Cashback Includes NOV RBA Rate Increase
  • Immediate cashback upon settlement
  • $2000 for loans up to $700,000
  • $4000 for loans over $700,000
Online ExclusiveUp To $4K Cashback Includes NOV RBA Rate Increase

loans.com.au – Variable Basic Cashback Home Loan (Principal and Interest) (LVR < 70%)

  • Immediate cashback upon settlement
  • $2000 for loans up to $700,000
  • $4000 for loans over $700,000
More details
VariableMore details
Refinance OnlyApply In Minutes
  • No application or ongoing fees. Annual rate discount
  • Unlimited redraws & additional repayments. LVR <80%
  • A low-rate variable home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
Refinance OnlyApply In Minutes

Unloan – Variable Rate Home Loan – Refinance Only

  • No application or ongoing fees. Annual rate discount
  • Unlimited redraws & additional repayments. LVR <80%
  • A low-rate variable home loan from a 100% online lender. Backed by the Commonwealth Bank.
More details
VariableMore details
  • Up is 100% owned by Bendigo Bank.
  • Up to 50 offset accounts
  • New joiners get $10 by signing up to the app using code UPHOMESAVINGS. (T&Cs apply)

Up – Up Home Variable (Principal & Interest) (LVR ≤ 90)

  • Up is 100% owned by Bendigo Bank.
  • Up to 50 offset accounts
  • New joiners get $10 by signing up to the app using code UPHOMESAVINGS. (T&Cs apply)
More details
  • Immediate cashback upon settlement
  • $2000 for loans up to $700,000
  • $4000 for loans over $700,000

More details
Important Information and Comparison Rate Warning

Base criteria of: a $400,000 loan amount, variable, fixed, principal and interest (P&I) home loans with an LVR (loan-to-value) ratio of at least 80%. However, the ‘Compare Home Loans’ table allows for calculations to be made on variables as selected and input by the user. Some products will be marked as promoted, featured or sponsored and may appear prominently in the tables regardless of their attributes. All products will list the LVR with the product and rate which are clearly published on the product provider’s website. Monthly repayments, once the base criteria are altered by the user, will be based on the selected products’ advertised rates and determined by the loan amount, repayment type, loan term and LVR as input by the user/you. *The Comparison rate is based on a $150,000 loan over 25 years. Warning: this comparison rate is true only for this example and may not include all fees and charges. Different terms, fees or other loan amounts might result in a different comparison rate. Rates correct as of December 10, 2023. View disclaimer.

Image by Fabio Hanashiro on Unsplash



Ready, Set, Buy!


Learn everything you need to know about buying property – from choosing the right property and home loan, to the purchasing process, tips to save money and more!

With bonus Q&A sheet and Crossword!

By subscribing you agree to our privacy policy